- Commodities and Trade Tariffson 2019.02.20. at 12:00
An ongoing trade battle between the United States and China has magnified the impact of tariffs on commodity prices and economic growth. As we’ll soon see, trade barriers have a ripple effect on global markets, influencing everything from commodities to foreign direct investment (FDI). Like any other market, commodities are influenced by a range of technical and fundamental factors. In the current macroeconomic climate, trade tensions are having a direct impact on commodities such as agriculture and crude oil. That’s because the two largest superpowers, the United States and China, have engaged in a tit-for-tat trade war that threatens to throw global economic growth off stride. The impact has already been felt. China’s economy is fresh off its worst year of expansion in nearly three decades and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has already lowered its growth outlook this year and in 2020 over the perceived trade threat. As a large consumer of commodities, China’s slowdown has had a direct impact on how commodities are priced. Learn here about how an interest rate hike can affect commodities.
- Factors Affecting Natural Gas Priceson 2019.02.06. at 12:00
Like any other commodity, natural gas is influenced by the forces of supply and demand. An understanding of both supply- and demand-side factors can help investors better evaluate fluctuations in natural gas prices to better gauge future market trends. Natural gas prices have fluctuated wildly over the past three months. While this is partly influenced by the overall state of the energy sector, seasonal influences have contributed to the dramatic rise – and fall – in natural gas prices. An expected warm spell in February has placed further downward pressure on the commodity. Learn here about how an interest rate hike can affect commodities.
- Understanding Basis Riskon 2019.01.23. at 12:00
Traders venturing into the futures market for the first time need to consider the inherent risks associated with derivatives contracts and how they can be mitigated using hedging strategies. The first stop on our list is a concept called Basis Risk. This article will help you understand the different types of basis risks that a trader may be exposed to.
- Henry Hub Natural Gas Futureson 2019.01.09. at 12:00
Henry Hub is the leading benchmark for U.S. natural gas futures. The story behind its rise to prominence sheds light on the relevance of transparency and liquidity in futures trading.
- USDA Crop Production Reporton 2018.12.26. at 12:00
Agriculture represents a key component of the commodities sector and overall U.S. economy. Investors seeking exposure to this sector are strongly urged to follow monthly crop production figures released by the U.S. government. A quick glance at the data can yield valuable insights on the health and performance of agricultural goods. Learn here about choosing the right commodity mutual fund.
Commodities Countdown Expert market commentary from StockCharts.com
- Commodities Create Reversal Signals 2018-09-21 Videoby Greg Schnell on 2018.09.24. at 01:42
Commodities kicked off a parade of signals this week. After months of beating up buyers, the charts kicked off some significant oversold reversal signals. Going through the charts, a theme of reversals emerged. Crude Oil moved above the 50 day moving average last week. This week it held up there, but the related ETF’s started to join the party. Things get real bullish if the $BPENER moves above the 50 day moving average. Continue reading “Commodities Create Reversal Signals 2018-09-21 Video” »
- Commodities Continue To Struggle 2018-09-14 Videoby Greg Schnell on 2018.09.17. at 13:23
The commodity charts continue to drift lower. There are lots of nice trend lines formed, but there seems to be little energy for a break to the upside just yet. The currency charts are important this week as the $USD seems set up for a sell signal on the momentum indicator. That might create a spark in the commodities and the emerging markets. Continue reading “Commodities Continue To Struggle 2018-09-14 Video” »
- Commodities Continue To Weaken 2018-09-07 Videoby Greg Schnell on 2018.09.09. at 22:20
Commodities continue to weaken again this week. Whether it was Copper or Aluminum, Natural Gas or Gasoline, it was another tough week for the commodity arena. The $CRB closed below the midpoint on the week and reversed the two week counter trend rally. The index also closed at a major horizontal support/resistance level around 190.5. Continue reading “Commodities Continue To Weaken 2018-09-07 Video” »
- Just A Wiggle In Commodities 2018-08-31 Videoby Greg Schnell on 2018.09.03. at 16:28
Commodities wiggled this week. It wasn’t very exciting to watch but it still suggests paying attention. Crude oil closed above the 50 day moving average, but some corresponding ETF’s didn’t rally with oil. XOP in the bottom panel traded sideways all week and closed marginally above the 50 day ma. While oil had a nice uptrend, XLE actually closed slightly lower than last week. I still like the oil related trade setup here, but the tepid performance suggests watching closely for a better entry. This week didn’t really motivate the buyers. Continue reading “Just A Wiggle In Commodities 2018-08-31 Video” »
- Commodities Try To Break Trend Lines 2018-08-24 Videoby Greg Schnell on 2018.08.27. at 06:00
Breadth has improved considerably in the last 8 days. This has been a very important change. While some analysts have been bullish throughout the months of July and August, I was very concerned with the lack of new highs and the weakness in the Advance Decline lines. These breadth indicators have had a big bullish push. Continue reading “Commodities Try To Break Trend Lines 2018-08-24 Video” »